Finance, Accounting & Budgeting

Public Debt Management: Medium-Term Debt Strategy, Borrowing Plans and Portfolio Risk

DestinationParis
Dates23 – 27 August 2027
Reference665_18561

Programme overview

Introduction:

Public debt management often fails quietly: a lumpy redemption profile, a rising share of floating or foreign-currency borrowing, or an unrecorded guarantee turns a routine refinancing into a funding squeeze. This Core Concept course equips debt office, treasury and finance ministry staff to run the government liability portfolio as one book, from debt office governance and cost-risk analysis to borrowing plans, primary dealer auctions, sukuk and bond issuance, guarantee exposure and debt reporting. Participants build a Medium-Term Debt Strategy Note for a case government.

Course Objectives:

  • Set public debt management objectives, borrowing mandates and front, middle and back office roles for a debt management office
  • Quantify refinancing, interest rate and currency exposure in the existing government liability portfolio using redemption profiles and portfolio risk indicators
  • Compare alternative borrowing strategies on projected interest cost and risk to select a preferred medium-term debt strategy
  • Translate the chosen strategy into an annual borrowing plan, issuance calendar and auction or syndication programme for bills, bonds and sukuk
  • Assess guarantee, PPP and state-owned enterprise exposure and coordinate cash buffers with debt issuance
  • Prepare debt statistical bulletins and sovereign investor presentations that meet transparency expectations

Target Audience:

  • Debt office front office staff who plan issuance, run auctions and deal with primary dealers and lead managers
  • Debt office middle office analysts who monitor portfolio risk and draft borrowing strategy options
  • Debt office back office staff who record loans and securities, reconcile debt service and produce debt statistics
  • Treasury cash managers who forecast government cash flows and hold liquidity buffers
  • Finance ministry analysts who approve sovereign guarantees and monitor state-owned enterprise and PPP exposure

Course Outline:

Day 1: Debt Office Governance, Mandates and the Liability Portfolio Baseline

  • Public Debt Management Objectives: Financing Needs at Lowest Cost Within Prudent Risk
  • Borrowing Law, Delegated Authority and Annual Borrowing Ceiling Provisions
  • Debt Office Organisation: Front, Middle and Back Office Segregation of Duties
  • Government Liability Portfolio Snapshot: Bills, Bonds, Sukuk, Loans and Arrears
  • Domestic Versus External and Local Versus Foreign-Currency Debt Composition Table

Day 2: Portfolio Risk Indicators and the Medium-Term Debt Strategy Method

  • Redemption Profile and Share of Debt Maturing Within One Year
  • Average Time to Maturity and Average Time to Refixing Calculation
  • Foreign-Currency Share and Exchange-Rate Shock Impact on Debt Stock
  • Medium-Term Debt Strategy Cycle: Baseline, Candidate Strategies and Shock Scenarios
  • Cost-Risk Frontier Chart: Interest Cost Versus Cost-at-Risk for Candidate Strategies

Day 3: Annual Borrowing Plans, Auctions and Sovereign Issuance

  • Gross Financing Requirement Build and Instrument Mix for the Annual Borrowing Plan
  • Issuance Calendar Design with Benchmark Bond Tenors and Reopening Policy
  • Uniform-Price Versus Multiple-Price Auction Rules and Primary Dealer Obligations
  • Syndicated Sovereign Bond Issuance: Lead Manager Mandate, Book and Pricing Versus Curve
  • Sovereign Sukuk Issuance: Asset Identification, Structure Choice and Shariah Board Sign-Off

Day 4: Cash Coordination, Contingent Liabilities and Liability Management Operations

  • Cash Flow Forecast and Liquidity Buffer Sizing for Treasury and Debt Office Coordination
  • Buybacks, Switches and Exchange Offers to Smooth the Redemption Profile
  • Explicit Guarantee Register, Fee Pricing and Call Probability Scoring
  • Contingent Exposure from PPP Contracts and State-Owned Enterprise Borrowing
  • Debt Recording System Controls, Reconciliation and Debt Statistical Bulletin Content

Day 5: Modelling Build: Medium-Term Debt Strategy Note for a Case Government

  • Case Government Data Pack: Portfolio Stock, Market Access and Macro Assumptions
  • Strategy Simulation Workbook: Four Candidate Borrowing Mixes Under Rate and Currency Shocks
  • Preferred Strategy Selection with Portfolio Risk Indicator Targets and Ranges
  • Sovereign Investor Relations Plan: Presentation Pack, Reverse Enquiry Log and Website Disclosures
  • Medium-Term Debt Strategy Note Presentation and Debt Committee Challenge

Skills You Will Gain:

  • Debt Portfolio Risk Measurement
  • Cost-Risk Scenario Analysis
  • Borrowing Plan Preparation
  • Government Securities Auction Design
  • Sovereign Sukuk Structuring Oversight
  • Guarantee Exposure Assessment
  • Debt Data Reconciliation
  • Sovereign Investor Communication

Why Attend This Course:

  • Take back a Medium-Term Debt Strategy Note for a case government, built in a working simulation workbook and defended before a debt committee panel
  • Spot refinancing humps, currency concentration and hidden guarantee exposure before they become funding problems
  • Speak with primary dealers, lead managers, rating analysts and investors using the portfolio metrics they expect
  • Compare debt office practice with treasury and finance ministry peers managing domestic and external borrowing in different market settings

Conclusion:

A government liability portfolio stays resilient when borrowing decisions follow a documented strategy, measured risk targets and a predictable issuance programme. The week moves from debt office governance and the portfolio baseline, through risk indicators and cost-risk analysis, to borrowing plans, auctions, syndications and sukuk, then to cash coordination, liability management operations, guarantees and debt recording. The final day produces a Medium-Term Debt Strategy Note ready for review by a debt management committee.

Public Debt Management: Medium-Term Debt Strategy, Borrowing Plans and Portfolio Risk runs in Paris over 5 days, with 2 upcoming dates in Paris. The course fee is 23,500 SAR.

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